Linear regression incorrect prediction using Matlab












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In the plot below the red crossed line is the actual curve and the crossed blue line is the predicted curve. I am using least squares for linear prediction. I have used 1:79 examples in training and the remaining for testing. The test data points are never seen during training. What is my mistake? Why am I getting such a weird prediction? I want to see the sine curve as the predicted output which should be very close to the original data.
im



%generate some data
x=linspace(0,2*pi,100)';
y=sin(x); %response

X=x;
y=y;
% Convert matrix values to double
X = double(X(1:79));
y = double(y(1:79));

% Plot data
plot(X, y, 'rx', 'MarkerSize', 10);

m = length(y);
% Add ones column
X = [ones(m, 1) X];

% Gradient Descent with Normal Equation
theta = (pinv(X'*X))*X'*y

% Predict from 80 till last sample
test_samples = x(80:end);
test_samples_val = [ones(length(test_samples),1) test_samples];

% Calculate predicted value
pred_value = test_samples_val * theta;

X = vertcat(X, test_samples_val);
regressionline = X*theta;


% Plot predicted value with blue cross
plot(test_samples, pred_value, 'bx', 'MarkerSize', 10);








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    $begingroup$


    In the plot below the red crossed line is the actual curve and the crossed blue line is the predicted curve. I am using least squares for linear prediction. I have used 1:79 examples in training and the remaining for testing. The test data points are never seen during training. What is my mistake? Why am I getting such a weird prediction? I want to see the sine curve as the predicted output which should be very close to the original data.
    im



    %generate some data
    x=linspace(0,2*pi,100)';
    y=sin(x); %response

    X=x;
    y=y;
    % Convert matrix values to double
    X = double(X(1:79));
    y = double(y(1:79));

    % Plot data
    plot(X, y, 'rx', 'MarkerSize', 10);

    m = length(y);
    % Add ones column
    X = [ones(m, 1) X];

    % Gradient Descent with Normal Equation
    theta = (pinv(X'*X))*X'*y

    % Predict from 80 till last sample
    test_samples = x(80:end);
    test_samples_val = [ones(length(test_samples),1) test_samples];

    % Calculate predicted value
    pred_value = test_samples_val * theta;

    X = vertcat(X, test_samples_val);
    regressionline = X*theta;


    % Plot predicted value with blue cross
    plot(test_samples, pred_value, 'bx', 'MarkerSize', 10);








    share









    $endgroup$















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      0





      $begingroup$


      In the plot below the red crossed line is the actual curve and the crossed blue line is the predicted curve. I am using least squares for linear prediction. I have used 1:79 examples in training and the remaining for testing. The test data points are never seen during training. What is my mistake? Why am I getting such a weird prediction? I want to see the sine curve as the predicted output which should be very close to the original data.
      im



      %generate some data
      x=linspace(0,2*pi,100)';
      y=sin(x); %response

      X=x;
      y=y;
      % Convert matrix values to double
      X = double(X(1:79));
      y = double(y(1:79));

      % Plot data
      plot(X, y, 'rx', 'MarkerSize', 10);

      m = length(y);
      % Add ones column
      X = [ones(m, 1) X];

      % Gradient Descent with Normal Equation
      theta = (pinv(X'*X))*X'*y

      % Predict from 80 till last sample
      test_samples = x(80:end);
      test_samples_val = [ones(length(test_samples),1) test_samples];

      % Calculate predicted value
      pred_value = test_samples_val * theta;

      X = vertcat(X, test_samples_val);
      regressionline = X*theta;


      % Plot predicted value with blue cross
      plot(test_samples, pred_value, 'bx', 'MarkerSize', 10);








      share









      $endgroup$




      In the plot below the red crossed line is the actual curve and the crossed blue line is the predicted curve. I am using least squares for linear prediction. I have used 1:79 examples in training and the remaining for testing. The test data points are never seen during training. What is my mistake? Why am I getting such a weird prediction? I want to see the sine curve as the predicted output which should be very close to the original data.
      im



      %generate some data
      x=linspace(0,2*pi,100)';
      y=sin(x); %response

      X=x;
      y=y;
      % Convert matrix values to double
      X = double(X(1:79));
      y = double(y(1:79));

      % Plot data
      plot(X, y, 'rx', 'MarkerSize', 10);

      m = length(y);
      % Add ones column
      X = [ones(m, 1) X];

      % Gradient Descent with Normal Equation
      theta = (pinv(X'*X))*X'*y

      % Predict from 80 till last sample
      test_samples = x(80:end);
      test_samples_val = [ones(length(test_samples),1) test_samples];

      % Calculate predicted value
      pred_value = test_samples_val * theta;

      X = vertcat(X, test_samples_val);
      regressionline = X*theta;


      % Plot predicted value with blue cross
      plot(test_samples, pred_value, 'bx', 'MarkerSize', 10);






      linear-regression prediction matlab matrix





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      asked 4 mins ago









      Srishti MSrishti M

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