Loss Function for Probability Regression












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I'm trying to predict a probability with a neural network, but having trouble figuring out which loss function is best. Cross entropy was my first thought, but other resources always talk about it in the context of a binary classification problem where the labels are {0, 1}, but in my case I have an actual probability as the target. Is one of these options clearly best, or maybe are they all valid with just minor differences around the extreme 0/1 regions?



Assuming x is the output of the final layer of my model.



Cross Entropy:

target * -log(sigmoid(x)) + (1 - target) * -log(1 - sigmoid(x))



Mean Squared Error with Sigmoid:

(sigmoid(x) - target)^2



Mean Squared Error with Clamp:

(x - target)^2

When I use the output I clamp the values between [0, 1].










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    $begingroup$


    I'm trying to predict a probability with a neural network, but having trouble figuring out which loss function is best. Cross entropy was my first thought, but other resources always talk about it in the context of a binary classification problem where the labels are {0, 1}, but in my case I have an actual probability as the target. Is one of these options clearly best, or maybe are they all valid with just minor differences around the extreme 0/1 regions?



    Assuming x is the output of the final layer of my model.



    Cross Entropy:

    target * -log(sigmoid(x)) + (1 - target) * -log(1 - sigmoid(x))



    Mean Squared Error with Sigmoid:

    (sigmoid(x) - target)^2



    Mean Squared Error with Clamp:

    (x - target)^2

    When I use the output I clamp the values between [0, 1].










    share|improve this question









    $endgroup$















      0












      0








      0





      $begingroup$


      I'm trying to predict a probability with a neural network, but having trouble figuring out which loss function is best. Cross entropy was my first thought, but other resources always talk about it in the context of a binary classification problem where the labels are {0, 1}, but in my case I have an actual probability as the target. Is one of these options clearly best, or maybe are they all valid with just minor differences around the extreme 0/1 regions?



      Assuming x is the output of the final layer of my model.



      Cross Entropy:

      target * -log(sigmoid(x)) + (1 - target) * -log(1 - sigmoid(x))



      Mean Squared Error with Sigmoid:

      (sigmoid(x) - target)^2



      Mean Squared Error with Clamp:

      (x - target)^2

      When I use the output I clamp the values between [0, 1].










      share|improve this question









      $endgroup$




      I'm trying to predict a probability with a neural network, but having trouble figuring out which loss function is best. Cross entropy was my first thought, but other resources always talk about it in the context of a binary classification problem where the labels are {0, 1}, but in my case I have an actual probability as the target. Is one of these options clearly best, or maybe are they all valid with just minor differences around the extreme 0/1 regions?



      Assuming x is the output of the final layer of my model.



      Cross Entropy:

      target * -log(sigmoid(x)) + (1 - target) * -log(1 - sigmoid(x))



      Mean Squared Error with Sigmoid:

      (sigmoid(x) - target)^2



      Mean Squared Error with Clamp:

      (x - target)^2

      When I use the output I clamp the values between [0, 1].







      neural-network regression logistic-regression loss-function probability






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      asked 4 hours ago









      ahbutforeahbutfore

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